Saturday, 3 November 2007

Tonight's Boxing

I'm loathe to curse Joe Calzaghe and with the day I'm having today hope I don't but his price tonight is too good to turn down. Calzaghe has the edge in so many departments, speed, hand speed, experience, style, chin (Kessler's hasn't really been tested) and stamina. He has beaten better fighters than Kessler, while Kessler has toiled against much lesser opposition. Granted Kessler is unbeaten, but one man's record will go tonight.

That is not to underestimate Kessler, he is a very good fighter but this is his first major fight outside his native Denmark (he has fought outside Denmark twice but not against what you would class as 'major' opponents). It will be tough but I think Kessler is too one dimensional, he hits to straight and Joe should be able to read him well. Even at odds on Calzaghe is a more than decent bet and I think he's worth the full 5 point bet.

I'll also be taking him to win inside the distance. While more than fit enough to last if needed I think he'll prove too much for the great Dane and send him home tail between his legs.
5pts Calzaghe to beat Kessler @ 1.74
1pt Calzaghe to win by KO, TKO or DQ @ 4.5

In the other main fight in Cardiff Enzo Maccarinelli takes on the unbeaten Mohamed Azzaoui. Although Azzaoui is unbeaten he has been brought into this fight as a punch-bag. Enzo is expected to demolish him, can probably will do. However you do not get a record of 22 wins and 0 losses (2 draws) from being a bad fighter. Azzaoui could feasibly hold Enzo for a while before the inevitable win. I'm going for a small interest bet on this one.
0.25pts Maccarinelli to win in Round 9 @ 25
0.25pts Maccarinelli to win in Round 10 @ 34
0.25pts Maccarinelli to win in Round 11 @ 44
0.25pts Maccarinelli to win in Round 12 @ 70


Update:
5pts Calzaghe to beat Kessler @ 1.74 - Won +3.52
1pt Calzaghe to win by KO, TKO or DQ @ 4.5 - Lost -1pt
Maccarinelli Round Betting - Lost -1pt

Tonight: +1.52
November so far: -5.41pts

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