Well, what a night, the Hitman loses his record and the bank is way down. With England and Vaughan starting so very well against Sri Lanka too it's going to be a long, hard month now to turn a profit, never mind hit target. There are a few big prices out there today and hopefully if a couple come in there will be a bank boost.
The Arsenal match should be a pass, with Cesc Fabregas, Alexander Hleb, Mathieu Flamini and Robin van Persie all out and after what happened to Liverpool yesterday they're not worth a real risk. However in their last two matches they've gone in winning at half time only to be really pushed in the second half, Villa couldn't pull it back, but Newcastle did, a very small bet to see it happen again, or even Middlesbrough to go one better, which although highly unlikely is never fully out of the question.
0.3pts HT/FT Arsenal/Draw @17
0.2pts HT/FT Arsenal/Middlesbrough @ 70
On to the other three Premiership games which all see the home sides at odds on, and all of them are worth taking on in my opinion. Bolton were thumped last time out at Liverpool and are coming off the back of a European away day, while Wigan started with a home draw against City under Steve Bruce and after a week to work with his team the former Birmingham boss will be looking to go one better. Add to this Wigan's recent form at the Reebok and they're in the pot.
City travel to Spurs in the other 3pm kick off, and again Spurs are coming off the back of a European away day and face a City side who need to translate their home form into away form if they want to ensure they finish in the European spots. The last 3 times this match has been played it has finished 2-1 to Spurs, but both teams are different now, City are stronger than they have been in decades and Spurs just don't know how to defend. Goals look on the menu and it's a case of who can score more. At the odds you have to side with City, but I'm also going for goals.
Blackburn host West Ham in the final Premiership match of the day, West Ham's record of 5 wins in the last 6 against Rovers speaks for itself. West Ham will be at pretty much full strength (Bellamy is still missing as are a few long term injuries) while Rovers miss Nelsen at the back and more importantly the suspended Bentley. With Pedersen not firing on all cylinders Bentley has been more important than ever this season and he'll be a big miss. If West Ham come out and take the game to Blackburn they may well come home with the three points.
3pts LAY Bolton v Wigan @ 1.99
1pt Wigan to win at Bolton @ 4.8
3pts LAY Spurs v City @ 1.98
1pt City to win at Spurs @ 4.5
3pts LAY Blackburn v West Ham @ 2
1pt West Ham to win at Blackburn @ 4.7
0.8pts Spurs v Ciy 2-2 @ 17.5
0.3pts Spurs v Ciy 2-3 @ 44
0.6pts Spurs v Ciy 3-2 @ 29
0.3pts Spurs v Ciy 3-3 @ 60
Results:
Arsenal/Boro HT/FT - Lost 0.5pts
3pts LAY Bolton v Wigan @ 1.99 - Lost 3pts
1pt Wigan to win at Bolton @ 4.8 - Lost 1pt
3pts LAY Spurs v City @ 1.98 - Lost 3pts
1pt City to win at Spurs @ 4.5 - Lost 1pt
3pts LAY Blackburn v West Ham @ 2 - TRADED SEE BELOW
1pt West Ham to win at Blackburn @ 4.7 - Won 5pts
2pts Spurs/City Score - Lost 2pts
Total: -5.5pts
December so far: -22.28pts
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