Sunday Football

After getting the month off on the wrong foot yesterday I'm looking for my first good Sunday in a while to get back on track.

First up Hibs travel to Aberdeen with the Dons having played and lost in Spain midweek. Their manager Jimmy Calderwood has already said he's worried about his team being tired and Hibs are at full strength and worth a cheeky point
1pt Hibs to win at Aberdeen @ 2.78

Watching the first 12 minutes of Harrogate Railway v Mansfield in the FA Cup and it's very open, both teams look like scoring so the 2.18 in running on the overs seems a decent bet.
2.5pts H.Railway v Mansfield Over 2.5 goals @ 2.18

Inter Milan have a fantastic away record and also a decent record against Fiorentina, odds of 2.64 on the win are too big.
2pts Inter to win at Fiorentina @ 2.64

Spurs host Birmingham today and are playing three strikers, while Birmingham have 5 in midfield, this match screams goals.
3.5pts Spurs v Birmingham Over 2.5 goals @ 1.83
0.5pts Spurs to beat Birmingham 2-0 @ 7.4

I'm going to have my first French League bet of the season, it's a league I rarely bet on but I think I've found some value today. I always think teams are dangerous coming off the back of a spanking, and Bordeaux were spanked last weekend, and spanked good, going down 5-0 at Caen. Apart from that they're having a good season, sat 3rd in the League and very good at home. Toulouse on the other hand are poor, they've won once since 15th September and are particularly bad on the road. Bordeaux can win well today and make up for the last match, I expect them to start well and build from there, winning by two or three.
3pts Bordeaux -0.75 v Toulouse @ 1.97
0.5pts Bordeaux to beat Toulouse 3-0 @ 17.5

On to the Conference where league leaders Aldershot travel to Salisbury. Salisbury have won only 1 in the last 9 (league matches, 11 if counting the cup) and are missing top scorer Matt Tubbs. Granted Salisbury are better at home than away but Aldershot have won 6 of 9 away and a win puts further daylight between them and the chasing pack. It won't be a hammering but I feel a one or two goal win is the order of the day.
2.5pts Aldershot to win at Salisbury @ 2.24

And one final bet (not football though!) as it's the Premier League Snooker final between John Higgins and the Rocket. I'm backing Higgins here, O'Sullivan won 5-1 last night, but Hendry had chances in every frame, if Higgins gets the same chances he'll take them. Of course Ronnie may fly out and demolish Higgins, but at the odds the value is with Higgins
2.5pts Higgins to beat O'Sullivan @ 3


1pt Hibs to win at Aberdeen @ 2.78 - Lost -1pt
2.5pts H.Railway v Mansfield Over 2.5 goals @ 2.18 - Won +2.8pts
2pts Inter to win at Fiorentina @ 2.64 - Won +3.11pts
3.5pts Spurs v Birmingham Over 2.5 goals @ 1.83 - Won +2.76pts
0.5pts Spurs to beat Birmingham 2-0 @ 7.4 - Lost -0.5pts
3pts Bordeaux -0.75 v Toulouse @ 1.97 - Won +1.38pts
0.5pts Bordeaux to beat Toulouse 3-0 @ 17.5 - Lost -0.5pts
2.5pts Aldershot to win at Salisbury @ 2.24 - Won +2.95pts
2.5pts Higgins to beat O'Sullivan @ 3 - Lost -2.5pts

Total: +8.5pts
December so far: +5.07pts