Saturday 10 November 2007

Saturday Night Live

And first off with some Boxing...

Tonight sees David 'The Hayemaker' Haye take on the Frenchman Jean-Marc Mormeck and although the odds suggest this may be close I think Haye will have too much power in what will most probably be his last fight at cruiserweight. He has an almost perfect record, only losing 3 years back when he ran out of gas... he's now fitter, stronger and most importantly ready. He'll win, and inside the distance.

2pts Haye by KO, TKO or DQ @ 2.32


And some more boxing: I'm hopefully going to stay awake for this one, but an approximate 4.30am start added to the fact I'm already yawning means I may struggle. But this may well be the fight of the year so I'm determined!

Anyway, on to the fight... Miguel Cotto v Shane Mosley

Before looking at the odds I couldn't split them, yes Cotto is unbeaten in 30 fights while Mosley has lost 4 of his 48 (all on points), yes Cotto has nearly 10 years on his side. But for that age difference Mosley has 8 years more experience, he's fought the bigger fights, he has the height and reach advantage.

I feel a lot of the fight rests on Mosley's jab. If Mosley can keep Cotto at bay and stop him getting his powerful shots to the body in then he's got a good chance... Cotto will come out all guns blazing looking for the fight, it's down to which fighter gets to play his game.

There are a lot of people comparing this fight to Hatton and Tszyu... the young pretender beating the older master... but things don't always turn out that way, witness Calzaghe v Kessler last week, sometimes the old master just has too much...

I'd have priced the fight pretty even, but looking at the odds and Cotto is a big favourite trading at about 1.7 - I fancy the fight to go the whole 12 and I'm going with the older man to take the match...

2pts Mosley by Decision / Tech Decision @ 3.9

Update: Stayed up but the fight wasn't brilliant. Solid fight, nothing spectacular as Cotto takes it by unanimous decision
Total: -2pts
November so far: +10.67pts

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