Sunday 4 November 2007

Sunday Football - In Play

A few games today. Firstly the East Anglian Derby as bottom of the table Norwich host an Ipswich side who can go 4th with a win today. Ipswich's league placing is almost wholly reliant on their home form with 6/6 wins at home but no wins away. 3 draws and 3 losses conceding 13 goals gives them the 3rd worst away record in the league. 7/8 of Norwich's points have come at Carrow Road and they need the win today which will keep them in touch... but still bottom of the league. They will also all be trying to play themselves into new manager Glenn Roeder's plans and goals look on the menu today.
2pts Norwich v Ipswich over 2.5 goals @ 2.0

Another Derby at 2pm as Hearts travel to Hibs, and only a small write up on this one. I think Hearts are slightly overpriced to win at Easter Road, they've got a great record there and although they sit 4 places below Hibs in the league they can enjoy a victory here today.
1pt Hearts to win at Hibs @ 3.5

With Anelka out for Bolton and Bellamy for West Ham the goal line for the 4pm SKY game has been pushed right out and I think it's overpriced. It's may not happen, but it's a good value bet, and if you keep taking the value you'll win in the end
2pts West Ham v Bolton over 2.5 goals @ 2.38

A couple of Spanish 4pm kick offs, firstly two good sides meet in Atletico Madrid v Villarreal, Villareal are about the 'other' Madrid side in the table but Atletico have a very good record at home scoring an average of 3 per game. Villarreal can be pretty indifferent away from home and Atletico are more than backable at a shade under 6/5.
Secondly an Osasuna side who are more than capable host Getafe who have lost all 5 of their away games. Getafe are a poor side and I really can't see them troubling Osasuna and should go down by a couple of goals.
2pts Atletico Madrid to beat Villarreal @ 2.16
3pts Osasuna to beat Getafe @ 2.18

And finally two evening games and two reasonably sized bets. In Italy, Inter travel to Juventus with an undefeated record to protect against the newly promoted Juventus. Juve are up there in the league (4th) while Inter are in first place. Juve have looked shaky on occasion this season and I think Inter can exploit their weaknesses and win by maybe a couple of goals.
In the Conference York travel to Farsley Celtic for the evening match. York have improved as of late and they were fairly unlucky in being edged out 1-0 by Torquay in their last match. Farsley have just lost their manager and could struggle here. I'm taking York to move away from trouble tonight in my bet of the day.
I also think Barcelona are too short to win at 1.21 at home to Betis, I've layed them to win 10 points (to lose just over 2) with a view to trade
4pts Inter Milan to beat Juventus (Draw No Bet) @ 1.91
0.5pts Juventus v Inter Milan 0-3 @ 44
5pts York -0.25 v Farsley Celtic @ 1.96
Lay Barcelona to win 10 points @ 1.21


Update:
Some bad luck again with Atletico being both 2-0 and 3-2 up, Inter losing their lead through a deflected goal with just over 10 minutes left after missing too many chances to count, Hibs holding Hearts and Osasuna unlucky too.
But overall another bad day... still, my bet of the day cam in again.
2pts Norwich v Ipswich over 2.5 goals @ 2.0 - Won +1.9pts
1pt Hearts to win at Hibs @ 3.5 - Lost -1pt
2pts West Ham v Bolton over 2.5 goals @ 2.38 - Lost -2pts
2pts Atletico Madrid to beat Villarreal @ 2.16 - Lost -2pts
3pts Osasuna to beat Getafe @ 2.18 -
Lost -3pts
4pts Inter Milan to beat Juventus (Draw No Bet) @ 1.91 - DNB
0.5pts Juventus v Inter Milan 0-3 @ 44 -
Lost -0.5pts
5pts York -0.25 v Farsley Celtic @ 1.96 -
Won +4.56pts
Lay Barcelona to win 10 points @ 1.21 - Lost -2.1pts

Today: -4.14pts
November so far: -9.55pts

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