Two matches tonight, and two home wins. First Mallorca v Valencia - Valencia without David Villa and playing Morientes up front on his own... Mallorca score at home, lots. I think they'll score tonight and I'm not sure if Valencia can reply.
In the other match Sevilla host Real Madrid... Sevilla are without their manager Ramos who has gone to Spurs and they've also had to contend with the death of a player, hence their league position being not the greatest. They're over this now, and can move on with a win over Madrid tonight who haven't looked great this season.
It's two fairly risky plays, but I'm confident, especially on Sevilla.
2pts Mallorca to beat Valencia @ 2.8
4pts Sevilla -0.25 v Madrid @ 2.2
Update: Mallorca currently 2-0 down... looks like today's bad run is continuing, but in for a penny and I'm going to lay Valencia as I think Mallorca can come back. However instead of the usual laying to win, I'm going to lay them to lose one and a half more points...
Lay Valencia to lose 1.5pts @ 1.06
Update: Mallorca go down 2-0, another and it's -3.5pts come on Sevilla!
Update: 5 minutes into the Sevilla v Madrid game and both teams look like they're going to forego the defensive game and go all out attack (can Madrid do anything else?) So I'm going to have a couple of bets in the hope the match doesn't calm down at all...
Sevilla v Madrid Total Goals
3.5pts on 3 or more @ 1.92
1pt on 4 or more @ 3.35
0.5pts on 5 or more @ 7.2
Update: The attacking has carried on, and 21 minutes in Sevilla are 2-0 up
Update: Half Time and still 2-0. It's a good job Madrid have Casillas in net or this could have been 4 or 5. One more goal (preferably for Sevilla) will secure profit on the goals bet. Any more after than will be bonuses. Luckily I think Madrid will throw everything forward in the second half in their pursuit of the game, leaving gaps for Sevilla to exploit.
Update: A step forward and a step back... it somehow finishes 2-0. The amount of chances missed in the second half (especially by Sevilla) was unbelievable.
Spanish Results:
2pts Mallorca to beat Valencia @ 2.8 - Lost -2pts
Lay Valencia to lose 1.5pts @ 1.06 - Lost -1.5pts
4pts Sevilla -0.25 v Madrid @ 2.2 - Won +4.56pts
Sevilla v Madrid Total Goals - Lost -5pts
Tonight: -3.94pts
November so far: -6.93pts
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