Thursday 8 November 2007

Thursdays UEFA Cup

After the win last night I'm just concentrating on a few matches tonight, and hoping to build on yesterday to put me in good stead for the weekend. The UEFA Cup is always a minefield too, so i try and concentrate on the English teams more than I would in the Champions League.

Firstly Bolton travel to Munich to play a Bayern side top of the league without key attacking players Anelka and Diouf. I was struggling to see how Bolton would score with these two in the side, but without them the 1.76 available on a Munich clean sheet is a great looking bet.

3pts Bayern Munich clean sheet @ 1.76


Secondly is Larissa +1 against Zenit St Petersburg. Larissa are no pushovers at home, as their win against Blackburn showed and Zenit know 3 points on Saturday could secure their first league win in 25 years. The Zenit coack Dick Advocaat has commented "We first set to win in the Championship Russia. After this we plan to take a seat in Group A of UEFA Cup". With a weakened Zenit side out Larissa may nick this. I'm going draw no bet for a belt and braces approach.

2pts Larissa DNB @ 2.47


Spurs are short odds but I may look at the game in play, but Everton look good against a struggling Nurnberg and a point on them to be winning at half time and full time could bring a nice return

1pt Everton HT/FT v Nurnberg @ 5.2


More possibly to follow as the day progresses.

Update: Larissa go down 2-3 after being 2-1 up but the Bolton team is named and what's going on? They've even changed the 'keeper with Ali Al Habsi playing... I've not been able to resist going in on Munich on the Asians
4pts Bayern Munich -1.75 @ 1.89
1pt Bayern Munich to win 3-0 @ 8

Update: 8 minutes in and a big deflection and Bolton score! That's the clean sheet and the 3-0 down! It's been all Munich too! Only one thing for it! Munich will score, I'm sure of it, and score a few... at the odds now they're a big back... but I'm going to hold on for a few minutes and pick my moment...
And that's now... 20 minutes in... this could go one of two ways... hopefully the right way!
5pts Bayern Munich @ 1.76

Update: 30 gone 1-1... come on Bayern... destroy them!
Update: 48 minutes and 2-1 Bayern... that's a bit more like it... a couple more now please.
Update: 60 in and Bayern take off Ribery!?!? Best player on the pitch by a way, hopefully they'll keep up the pressure.
Update: 79th minute... and it looks like staying this way. Damn it!
Update: 81 minutes and BOLTON score... this is looking like ALL last night's profits down the drain!
Update: 83 minutes... I'm backing Bolton! I shouldn't do as it takes my liability on the game to 6pts, but sod it... I'm about 15pts down tonight already... Come on Bolton ;-)
1pt Bolton @ 26

This may be a moment of
madness (probably) but I was going to do it earlier and passed up on it, but I'm pissed off... In for a penny...
5pts Everton to beat Nurnberg @ 2.62

Update: 1/2 way through the first half... Everton could have had a couple by now... come on!
Update: 15 minutes left and another 2.5 points on Everton... surely they must score!
2.5pts Everton to beat Nurnberg @ 4.8

Update: I wonder... is 10 points the charm? It worked last night... just under 10 minutes to go...

Is it needed????

PENALTY!

Arteta... SCORESSSSSSSSSSS

Update: 5 minutes left and layed off at 1.1 for a 15pts profit if Everton win and 10pts if they don't! It's been a bit of kamikaze betting (not advised!) but it's worked...

Update: Needn't have layed off... it's 2-0... money in the bank! Easy this game!!!

3pts Bayern Munich clean sheet @ 1.76 - Lost -3pts
2pts Larissa DNB @ 2.47 - Lost -2pts
1pt Everton HT/FT v Nurnberg @ 5.2 - Lost -1pt
4pts Bayern Munich -1.75 @ 1.89 - Lost -4pts
1pt Bayern Munich to win 3-0 @ 8 - Lost -1pt
5pts Bayern Munich @ 1.76 - Lost -5pts
1pt Bolton @ 26 - Lost -1pt
7.5pts Everton to beat Nurnberg @ 3.35 and layed off 1.8pts @ 1.1 - Won +15.04pts

Today: -1.96pts
November so far: +4.01pts

I really don't want a night like that again in a hurry!

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