Sunday Football

And first off to the Championship where West Brom host Wolves in the early derby game. Both teams sit in the top 6 of the table (WBA 3rd and Wolves 6th) and both know a win will lift either of them further up the league. Both teams play their best football at home and although this is a derby match I think the trend will keep up today. West Brom have a good home record against Wolves, you have to go back 11 years for the last time they lost the derby at home and even though odds are skinny I can't see past the West Brom win

3pts West Brom to beat Wolves @ 1.9


Spurs travel to West Ham for the 13.30 kick off in a game that saw 7 goals last season. Both teams have come with an attacking line up again and we could very well see another goal fest with neither side the greatest at the back. West Ham won their last match 5-0, Spurs their last 4-0... any way you look at it this screams goals... I'm going for the old staple in matches where I think there will be goals, as well as chancing a couple of big correct scores and the HT/FT reversal...
3pts Total Goals 3+ @ 1.87
1pt Total Goals 4+ @ 3.08
0.5pts Total Goals 5+ @ 5.81
0.5pts Total Goals 6+ @ 12.63
0.5pts HT/FT West Ham/Tottenham @ 27
0.5pts HT/FT Tottenham/West Ham @ 30
0.4pts Spurs to win 3-2 @ 29
0.4pts West Ham to win 3-2 @ 32
0.2pts Draw 3-3 @ 60


Update: FUCKING PENALTY MISSES!
1) Gera misses a last minute penalty for West Brom and it finishes 0-0
2) Defoe misses a last minute penalty for Spurs which would have won them the match and me the HT/FT West Ham/Spurs bet, and also brought the 3rd goal in... the match finishes 1-1


Still... Blackburn should help win it back with what should be a win at Craven Cottage. Fulham struggle against the bigger sides while Blackburn have a 100% record this season against teams in the lower half of the table. If they play like they have been doing all season, and don't miss any penalties if they come up, then they should bring home the bacon. They've been one of my strongest fancies all week but it would have been nice to place the bets on an already winning day... as it stands they will hopefully save the day.

I'm on them to start strongly and build from that, hopefully with a goal from David Bentley who has scored 4 times this season, but every time it has been the first goal in the match. And with Santa Cruz not playing today he could play off McCarthy rather than in midfield.
4pts Blackburn to beat Fulham @ 2.38
1pt Blackburn to win 2-0 @ 13.5
2pts HT/FT Blackburn/Blackburn @ 4.3
1pt FGS - Bentley @ 12

Also I'm taking Espanyol DNB at Osasuna, Espanyol have only lost twice all season while Osasuna, although they started well are out of form and not looking great with 1 win in the last 5 games. Keeping the draw as no bet just in case but Espanyol should get a result. I'm also taking an under performing B. Dortmund DNB at Nurnberg in the Bundesliga.
3pts Espanyol DNB @ 2.18
3pts Dortmund DNB @ 2.22

Hopefully at least a few of these will come in and save us from another awful Sunday.

Update: I honestly don't believe it! Fulham get a penalty 5 minutes into the second half... and score it! What is it with penalties today? 3 of them and the two I need are saved, the one I don't goes in. Bollocks, bollocks, bollocks.

Update: Was tempted to have a bit more on Blackburn as they have been on top all match, but didn't in the end. Now 1-1... come on Blackburn... and as I speak Fulham score again! Argh! I'll be laying Fulham as the game goes on, looking to double (max) my current 4pts liability...

Also in Spain, 2 matches are level at 3-3 with 20ish minutes left... I'll be laying the draw in both of them at various odds as the matches draw to a close... looking for liabilities of no more than 4pts in either game and hoping for a goal in at least one... will post the results at FT and hopefully there will be at least one of the two with another goal!

Update: Trading out and Blackburn score... I'm now -2pts on the draw from -4pts... will no trade the draw... and did back to -4pts... still Spain has been better with Espanyol winning in my earlier bet and a 7th goal in each of the games below for profits of:

Atletico Madrid v Valladolid +4.43pts
Levante v Betis +3pts

Still down about 11pts (ish) for the day so far, but it doesn't mean I'm not having one last bet on goals galore in Zaragoza v Getafe... the last eight games between these two sides have had 3+ goals... also having a play on the HT/FT turnaround again:
3pts Total Goals 3+ @ 1.94
1pt Total Goals 4+ @ 3.32
0.5pts Total Goals 5+ @ 7.2
0.4pts Total Goals 6+ @ 16.5
0.2pts Total Goals 7+ @ 43.79
0.5pts HT/FT Zaragoza/Getafe @ 45.44
0.5pts HT/FT Getafe/Zaragoza @ 34

Bring on the goalfest...

Update: 1-1

The less said about today the better
3 winning bets totalling 10.79pts
The rest all losing totalling -27.1pts!!!!


Total: -16.31pts
November so far: +27.85pts
6.69pts behind the monthly target now... a few days to go though so confident of hitting it...