Wednesday 21 November 2007

Tonight's Euro Qualifiers...

First off already 0.5pts down for the day after having a touch on a horse... bah...

Anyway on to the football and brief again tonight, a couple of bets already on and more to follow:
But basically, Holland may not want to top their group for seeding reasons... if they don't win then Germany may not want to later either...

I also fancy Croatia to get something tonight, the odds on England are stupidly low, only a fool would fail to oppose, win, lose or draw... the odds are wrong...

The Czechs really need a win to try and stay in seeding pot 2...

I'm also going for the old favourite on the goals in Spain v N. Ireland. It finished 3-2 in the return match and with N. Ireland needing a win to stand any chance of qualifying they will keep attacking no matter what... 3 goals is money back, anything else is profit...

2.5pts Czech Rep to beat Cyprus @ 1.95
1pt Belarus to beat Holland @ 4.3
1.5pts Croatia to beat England @ 9.4
2pts England v Croatia Draw @ 3.5
2pts Croatia to be leading at HT @ 7.8
0.7pts Croatia to win 0-1 @ 22
0.4pts Croatia to win 0-2 @ 60
0.2pts Croatia to win 0-3 @ 220
0.5pts Croatia to win 1-2 @ 32
0.2pts Croatia to win 1-3 @ 120
0.5pts N. Ireland to beat Spain @ 10
3pts Spain v N. Ireland 3+ goals @ 1.8
1pt Spain v N. Ireland 4+ goals @ 3
0.5pts Spain v N. Ireland 5+ goals @ 5.93
0.5pts Spain v N. Ireland 6+ goals @ 13.44


Update: The Czechs win and Holland are 2-0 down to the mighty Belarus with 20 minutes left, so...
10pts Lay Germany v Wales @ 1.33 (To lose 3.3pts)
0.5pts Back Wales @ 12.5
1pt Germany v Wales 0-0 @ 17.5

Update: Croatia 2-0 up in 15 minutes... layed the half time bet for 10pts+ profit any HT result

Update: Layed the stake on Germany v Wales 0-0 back at 3.9 as it's 0-0 after 50 minutes

Update: Croatia up 2-0 at HT, also backed Germany for my stake back at 2.16 after 65 minutes. N. Ireland lose 1-0 though. Also layed Croatia off at 1.47

Update: Covered the 1-0 to either side in Germany v Wales for a 4.5pts+ profit on either, still 10.5pts profit on 0-0

Update: England score... dodgy penalty and a half... had a little on England at 7

Update: 2-2 England then 2-3... backed a bit more of the draw... will keep topping up on occasion, but not dropping below 10pts profit on Croatia...

Right... time to make some sense of all that after a whole lot of trading...
0.5pts Horsey Bet -
Lost -0.5pts
2.5pts Czech Rep to beat Cyprus @ 1.95 - Won +2.26pts
1pt Belarus to beat Holland @ 4.3 - Won +3.14pts
1.5pts Croatia to beat England @ 9.4 - Won +10.27pts
2pts England v Croatia Draw @ 3.5 - Traded
2pts Croatia to be leading at HT @ 7.8 - Won +10.43pts
2pts England v Croatia scores - Lost -2pts
0.5pts N. Ireland to beat Spain @ 10 - Lost -0.5pts
5pts Spain v N. Ireland 3/4/5/6+ goals - Lost -5pts
10pts Lay Germany v Wales @ 1.33 (To lose 3.3pts) - Won +5.93pts
0.5pts Back Wales @ 12.5 - Traded
1pt Germany v Wales 0-0 @ 17.5 - Won +10.55pts

Total: +34.58pts
November so far: +47.04pts

1 comment:

SUPERMURPH said...

Excellent work tonight Mike, suprised you hadnt won on the correct scores, guess you let them run? Still, a superb performance.

Well done.